Edina, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

108
FXUS63 KMPX 291720
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1220 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Much drier weather the rest of the week, with only a few
  exceptions listed below.

- Tuesday and Wednesday, small chance for showers and storms
  across southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. There is a
  Marginal Risk for severe weather and excessive rain on both
  days across southern Minnesota.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 AM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...They storm system that brought strong
winds across the region overnight has excited to the southeast,
with just some residual anvil cirrus lingering across the
region. Where skies were clearing across western Minnesota,
patchy fog developed, and this will last into the morning before
clearing out later today. At the surface, an area of high
pressure will slowly build in. However, areas across southern
Minnesota will still have mid-level lapse rates around 7 to 8
C/km, and MLCAPE values in excess of 1000 J/kg. The forcing for
ascent is weak, but a few scattered storms are expected to
develop later today, and tonight, and last into Wednesday. There
is a marginal risk for severe weather and excessive rain since
the storms will be fairly slow moving and Pwat values will be
around 1.75 inches. These broader coverage for storms will be
across Iowa, where there is a slight risk for severe weather and
heavy rain.

THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...Looking ahead, high pressure will
slowly slide across the region toward the Great Lakes, and this
will keep the Upper Midwest dry through the rest of the week. By
this weekend, return flow on the western side of the surface
high will lend itself to small chances for showers and
thunderstorms again. At this point, a few storms could be slow
moving and produce locally heavy rain, but the overall concern
for hazardous weather is low.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites throughout this
duration. High clouds will gradually continue to move across the
area through the rest of the daylight hours today, resulting in
high ceilings which will prevail overnight into Wednesday
morning. A few SHRA/TSRA are possible overnight through sunrise
in far southern MN, possibly reaching RWF and MKT. Otherwise,
sites will remain dry through this TAF period. Winds will
eventually settle on NE tonight through tomorrow with speeds
under 10kts.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...VFR. Wind E 5-10 kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.
SAT...VFR. Winds S 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JRB
AVIATION...JPC